under normal/ordinary conditions, falling off of a cliff will kill you. Take that as a fact.
You're the one who said "
certain death". I posted what I did to challenge the "certainty" claim, not the high
statistical probability of dying.
There is NO certainty (only statistical odds, be they high or low) and there are no
predictions that can possibly be "certain facts" (because they haven't happened yet), just like there are NO "normal/ordinary" conditions.
You're being surprisingly vague as an empiricist when it suits you...
So please stop cheating by inserting into your equations factors that are vague and open to interpretation, such as
"normal/ordinary conditions" (unless you can empirically define what they are)...
Provide
empirically measurable PARAMETERS of such conditions!
Provide
clear parameters that we can actually insert into the probability equation, and then, and only then, IF the result is 100% (unlikely), I might take you seriously!
BUT, if you
predict "certainty" instead of calculated odds (and consider your predictions to be "facts") - you're not an empiricist, you're a believer and a self-proclaimed prophet - and your "empirical" debates are no more than religious wars!
Attaching the term FACT to events
that have not happened yet, categorizes your approach to such debates as irrational and, if anything, more
"mystically" inclined.
Replace
"fact" with
"highly probable", and you're back in the land of empirical reasoning.
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